here are the AI predictions to win your bets

Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Discover the predictions of various artificial intelligences for the outcome of the major soccer tournament in Qatar…

Here we go again! For the 22nd time since 1930the Football World Cup will take place from November 20 to December 18, 2022. The 32 men’s national teams from five continents will compete in a merciless tournament.

A controversial 2022 edition of the FIFA World Cup, as it was organized in Qatar under conditions of mistreatment of workers, discrimination against homosexuals and facial recognition surveillance.

However, the last World Cup in 2018 ended in victory for France in Russia. Logically, many of us are eager to see Les Bleus string together two World Cup victories!

But what does artificial intelligence have to say? Will Team France add a third star on its jersey just before Christmas, thanks to the talent of Mbappe and his allies? Not so sure…

In order to prepare your betsor simply to know the outcome before everyone else, discover AI predictions for the 2022 World Cup.

A victory for Brazil according to OPTA

Visit leader in sports data, OPTAhas used AI to predict the winner of the World Cup. Its algorithm has generated probabilities for each team, but these will be updated in real time during matches throughout the tournament. Every goal scored will change the predictions for all teams.

At the moment, with just a few days to go before the start of the competition, Brazil is the team with the best chance of lifting the Cup. According to OPTA’s AI, Neymar and comrades have 16.3%. probability of winning. The seleçao have an 88.5% chance of progressing beyond the group stage.

Still according to this model, Messi’s Argentina in second place with a 13.1% chance. They are closely followed by France at 12%.followed by Spain at 8.9% and the UK at 8.8%.

England should finish first in Group B, followed by the USA just ahead of Wales. However, the the USA have only 0.7% of the of winning the Cup.

For his part, France was the favourite when the first simulations were carried out on June 15, 2022. The supercomputer gave Les Bleus an 18% chance of lifting the trophy.

opta group D france

However, following its poor performance in the UEFA Nations LeagueFrance now only have a 12.04% chance of winning the World Cup. The EdF won just one of their six matches at the tournament…

What’s more, right from the group stage, our champions will be up against one of their worst opponents: Denmark. In the Nations League, this Nordic team beat us 2-1 in June and 2-0 in September.

Nevertheless, OPTA’s supercomputer is not only based on these few months of soccer wandering. Overall, France remains one of the best teams at the World Cup…

We have 61.8% to dominate our pool groupThis is still below Argentina (69.3%), Brazil (67.7%) and England (62.9%). Thereafter, we risk Argentina in the Round of 16

The University of Innsbruck confirms Brazil’s victory

Visit scientists from the University of Innsbruck, Austriaand the Technical University of Dortmund in Germany, have also used AI to predict the outcome of the 2022 World Cup. Led by statistician Professor Achim Zeileis, they have used the random forest technique to simulate the tournament 100,000 times on a supercomputer.

Previously, this machine learning approach has enabled them to successfully predict sports results. The model used is based on the probabilities of 28 bookmakersthe value of each player and the results of each team in international matches over the last eight years.

A neural network combined the different sources of information, and optimized them step by step. The model was fed with data from the last five World Cups from 2002 to 2008, and his predictions were compared with the actual results.

This AI correctly predicted the outcome of the Euro 2008 final between Germany and Spain, or Spain’s victory at the 2010 World Cup and Euro 2012. Its predictions are therefore to be taken seriously.

According to the researchers, Brazil is the favorite with 15%. chances of winning. Next in line are Argentina at 11%, the Netherlands at 10%, Germany and France at 9%, Spain at 8%, England at 7% and Belgium at 6%.

The algorithm predicts a South American final, with Brazil facing Argentina. In the semi-finals, Germany and the Netherlands would be eliminated.

However, the study’s co-author, Andreas Groll from the Technical University of Dortmund, points out that ” it is in the nature of predictions to be incorrect – otherwise soccer tournaments would be very boring. We provide probabilities, not certainties, and a 15% probability of winning also implies an 85% probability of not winning. “.

A number of factors are making this World Cup even more uncertain than usual.particularly the fact that it is being held in winter. Temperatures in Doha are currently in excess of 30 degrees, and players are at risk of temperature shock, which could lead to injury.

In addition, the European and South American soccer leagues had to be interrupted especially for the tournament, so the players had to take a break. less time to prepare or recover from injuries before and after the Cup. For all these reasons, the end of the 2022 World Cup is particularly difficult to predict…

Oxford AI predicts Belgium victory

world cup 2022 ia oxford

Developed by epidemiologists at Oxford University, a mathematical “double Poisson” model assumes that goals scored and conceded are distributed around a mean value. This AI correctly predicted Italy’s victory over England at Euro 2020and six of the eight quarter-finalists.

The method consists of giving each team an offensive and defensive strengthbased on the total number of goals scored by each team and the relative difficulty of their opponents.

The result is a large set of equations to be solved for both sets of forces, after which it becomes possible to predict the outcome of each match. For the 2022 World Cup, this model gives Belgium as the favorite at 13.88%. chances of winning. It is followed by Brazil at 13.51%, and France at 12.11%.

BCA Research sees Argentina as champion

According to BCA Research’s supercomputer, Lionel Messi’s Argentina will win this World Cup. To be more precise will triumph over Ronaldo’s Portugal on penalties at Doha’s Lusail Stadium.

These results have been calculated based on the last four World Cups192 group matches and 64 knockout matches, and the current FIFA ranking of national teams. The supercomputer also aggregated player statistics from the FIFA 2023 game by EA Sports.

Argentina is currently on on a 34-match unbeaten runand won the Copa America last summer. Lionel Messi, meanwhile, has already scored 15 goals and made 12 assists in 18 games for PSG this season.

However, even as the favourites, this team has only a 7% chance of winning using this method. In other words, Messi will have to overcome many obstacles to finally lift the trophy…

EA Sports announces Argentina as FIFA 23 winner

The video games are increasingly realisticso why not use them to simulate reality? Based on its FIFA game, EA Sports correctly predicted the winners of the 2010, 2014 and 2018 World Cups.

Now, the famous video game publisher announces Argentina’s victory at the 2022 World Cup. These predictions are based on match simulations performed on FIFA 23.

However, unlike BCA Research, EA Sports does not see Argentina in the final against Portugal, but against Brazil. Still according to the game’s simulations, Messi to win Golden Boot 2022 with eight goals.

In conclusion, no AI seems convinced of France’s potential. It all that remains is to support Les Bleus, and hope they manage to beat the odds. !